How Predictions Work
How we generate football predictions — the data, models and signals behind every tip.
How Football Predictions Work: A Complete Guide
How Sportdico generates football predictions — from odds markets and statistical models to editorial review. Understand the signals behind every tip.
·3 min read
What is Expected Goals (xG)? A Plain-English Guide
Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of chances a team creates, not just the goals they score. We explain how xG is calculated, what it predicts, and how we use it.
·3 min read
The Poisson Distribution in Football Betting, Explained
The Poisson distribution turns a team's expected goals into the probability of every scoreline. We explain the formula, work through an example, and show its limits.
·3 min read
How Bookmaker Odds Work: Implied Probability and the Margin
Bookmaker odds are probabilities in disguise, inflated by a built-in margin. We explain how to convert odds to probability, strip the overround, and read the true price.
·3 min read