BTTS โ Both Teams to Score โ is one of the most popular football betting markets. It has one rule: both the home side and the away side must score at least once. The final result does not matter; a 1โ3 defeat counts the same as a 1โ1 draw for BTTS Yes purposes.
How BTTS works
There are two BTTS outcomes:
| Outcome | Condition |
|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | Home โฅ 1 goal AND Away โฅ 1 goal |
| BTTS No | Either team fails to score (or both fail) |
A final score of 0โ0, 1โ0, or 0โ2 means BTTS No. A final score of 1โ1, 2โ3, or 1โ2 means BTTS Yes.
How Sportdico calculates BTTS probability
We model each team's expected goals (xG) as a Poisson distribution. The probability that a team scores at least one goal is:
P(goals โฅ 1) = 1 โ P(goals = 0) = 1 โ e^(โฮป)
where ฮป is the team's expected goals for that match.
BTTS probability is then:
P(BTTS Yes) = P(home โฅ 1) ร P(away โฅ 1)
This assumes home and away scoring are independent, which is a reasonable approximation for most league matches.
Example
Arsenal (home, ฮป = 2.1) vs Brentford (away, ฮป = 1.3):
- P(Arsenal scores) = 1 โ e^(โ2.1) โ 87.8 %
- P(Brentford scores) = 1 โ e^(โ1.3) โ 72.8 %
- P(BTTS Yes) = 0.878 ร 0.728 โ 63.9 %
Which leagues have the highest BTTS rates?
Across the 2024โ25 season:
| League | BTTS Yes rate |
|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 58 % |
| Premier League | 55 % |
| Ligue 1 | 53 % |
| La Liga | 50 % |
| Serie A | 47 % |
Bundesliga matches tend to be open and high-scoring. Serie A and La Liga have more tactically conservative teams, leading to more clean sheets.
When is BTTS a good market?
BTTS Yes is worth considering when:
- Both teams have scored in their last 5+ matches (strong attacking form)
- Neither team has kept a clean sheet in recent away/home fixtures
- The expected goals for both sides exceed 1.0
BTTS No is worth considering when:
- One team is a strong defensive unit with multiple recent clean sheets
- The away team has a low conversion rate and poor form
- Weather conditions (heavy rain, strong wind) suppress goal-scoring
BTTS vs Over 2.5 goals
These markets are often confused. The key difference:
| Market | Wins on | Loses on |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1โ1, 1โ2, 2โ3, 3โ1 | 0โ0, 1โ0, 0โ2 |
| Over 2.5 | 1โ2, 3โ0, 2โ2 | 0โ0, 1โ0, 1โ1, 0โ1 |
A 1โ1 draw is BTTS Yes but Under 2.5. A 2โ0 home win is BTTS No but Over 2.5. Always choose the market that best matches your read of the match, not the one with the shorter odds.
Frequently asked questions
Does extra time count for BTTS?
In most bookmakers' standard BTTS market, only 90 minutes plus injury time count. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded. Always check the specific bookmaker's rules.
Can BTTS be voided?
If a match is abandoned before 90 minutes, BTTS bets are usually voided. If the match completes 90 minutes, the result stands regardless of when a goal was scored.
What is BTTS and Win?
A combined market: your team must win AND both teams must score. It typically pays odds of 3.00โ5.00 for top-six matches because combining two independent conditions dramatically reduces probability.
Is BTTS Yes or No more common?
Across Europe's top five leagues, BTTS Yes occurs in roughly 52 % of matches โ essentially a coin flip. The slight Yes majority reflects modern football's high pressing styles and open defensive shapes.
See today's BTTS predictions
Sportdico publishes BTTS Yes/No tips for every covered match, with Poisson-derived probabilities and a public win/loss track record.